Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.037335 0.040269 0.043346 0.046818 0.050633 0.054703 0.059381
2025-05-18 0.032416 0.036533 0.041086 0.046515 0.052838 0.060000 0.068769
2025-05-25 0.029202 0.034004 0.039530 0.046401 0.054774 0.064717 0.077528
2025-06-01 0.026525 0.031689 0.037822 0.045709 0.055680 0.067992 0.084546
2025-06-08 0.024297 0.029650 0.036176 0.044811 0.056071 0.070452 0.090521
2025-06-15 0.022646 0.028156 0.035032 0.044361 0.056876 0.073354 0.097153
2025-06-22 0.021257 0.026872 0.034025 0.043954 0.057616 0.076118 0.103705
2025-06-29 0.019881 0.025500 0.032788 0.043110 0.057642 0.077821 0.108793
2025-07-06 0.019158 0.024934 0.032566 0.043599 0.059498 0.082162 0.118013
2025-07-13 0.018339 0.024183 0.032033 0.043591 0.060606 0.085447 0.125860
2025-07-20 0.017776 0.023744 0.031890 0.044107 0.062476 0.089948 0.135930
2025-07-27 0.017022 0.022993 0.031259 0.043858 0.063162 0.092658 0.143308
2025-08-03 0.016339 0.022314 0.030703 0.043695 0.063978 0.095645 0.151454
2025-08-10 0.015676 0.021632 0.030105 0.043427 0.064600 0.098350 0.159346
2025-08-17 0.015111 0.021062 0.029638 0.043324 0.065461 0.101477 0.168223
2025-08-24 0.014445 0.020312 0.028862 0.042688 0.065403 0.103045 0.174403
2025-08-31 0.013776 0.019528 0.027999 0.041861 0.064968 0.103919 0.179341
2025-09-07 0.013256 0.018947 0.027415 0.041447 0.065188 0.105923 0.186569
2025-09-14 0.012779 0.018410 0.026876 0.041071 0.065440 0.107982 0.194063
2025-09-21 0.012238 0.017753 0.026118 0.040294 0.064944 0.108642 0.198809
2025-09-28 0.012009 0.017570 0.026100 0.040745 0.066619 0.113383 0.212289
2025-10-05 0.011692 0.017236 0.025822 0.040737 0.067470 0.116630 0.222958
2025-10-12 0.011494 0.017082 0.025828 0.041212 0.069215 0.121694 0.238027